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Wednesday, December 31, 2008

TERROR RELATED CASUALTIES IN PAKISTAN 2003-08

Casualties of Terrorist Violence in Pakistan

Annual Fatalities in Terrorist Violence in Pakistan, 2003-2008


Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists/Insurgents
Total

2003

140
24
25
189

2004

435
184
244
863
2005
430
81
137
648
2006
608
325
538
1471
2007
1523
597
1479
3599
2008*
2049
646
3875
6570

Total

5282
1833
6305
13648
* Data till December 22, 2008

Year 2008

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists/Insurgents
Total
January
88
111
455
654
February
182
33
30
245
March
137
26
41
204
April
80
25
16
121
May
61
30
37
128
June
149
31
38
218
July
82
71
250
403
August
339
124
784
1247
September
272
67
876
1215
October
262
60
735
1057
November
225
50
482
757
December*
172
18
131
321
Total
2049
646
3875
6570
* Data till December 22, 2008
Source: Figures are compiled from news reports and are provisional.

Year 2007

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists/Insurgents
Total
January
26
16
29
71
February
35
4
8
47
March
28
21
261
310
April
176
18
83
277
May
57
10
14
81
June
31
12
40
83
July
144
143
191
478
August
56
63
117
236
September
101
67
144
312
October
282
101
154
537
November
293
94
341
728
December
293
48
97
438
Total
1523
597
1479
3599
Source: Figures are compiled from news reports and are provisional.


Year 2006

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists
Total
January
114
29
22
165
February
88
16
2
106
March
91
19
221
331
April
96
44
53
193
May
43
39
5
87
June
26
29
47
102
July
12
52
49
113
August
22
43
44
109
September
22
0
2
24
October
42
7
83
132
November
42
45
9
91
December
10
2
1
13
Total
608
325
538
1471



Year 2005

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists
Total
January
30
7
2
39
February
11
0
6
17
March
77
15
3
95
April
6
2
2
10
May
63
5
2
70
June
8
1
0
9
July
29
2
43
74
August
14
10
1
25
September
32
17
40
89
October
27
15
16
58
November
13
0
12
25
December
120
7
10
137
Total
430
81
137
648

Year 2004

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists
Total
January
0
4
0
4
February
2
0
1
3
March
47
45
25
117
April
6
5
1
12
May
45
0
0
45
June
60
37
24
121
July
28
6
19
53
August
42
17
4
63
September
70
36
70
176
October
114
11
28
153
November
5
19
72
96
December
16
4
0
20
Total
435
184
244
863


 
Year 2003

 
Civilians
Security Force Personnel
Terrorists
Total
January
7
0
0
7
February
18
3
1
22
March
0
0
1
1
April
1
0
0
1
May
6
0
1
7
June
5
13
0
18
July
61
2
0
63
August
4
0
0
4
September
10
0
0
10
October
8
5
18
31
November
0
0
2
2
December
20
1
2
23
Total
140
24
25
189

 


 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Why the CIA does not want Dawood in Indian hands


 

Why the CIA does not want Dawood in Indian hands

 

 

 

December 22, 2008
The role Dawood Ibrahim [Images], the underworld kingpin who heads the D-Company and has known ties to Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence and even the Central Intelligence Agency, is apparently being whitewashed. His capture and handover to India might prove inconvenient for either the ISI or the CIA, or both.

It was Ibrahim who was initially characterised by press reports as being the mastermind behind the attacks. Now, that title is being given to Zaki-ur Rehman Lakhvi by numerous media accounts reporting that Pakistan security forces have raided a training camp of the group Lashkar-e-Tayiba [Images], which evidence has indicated was behind the attacks. Lakhvi was reportedly captured in the raid and is now in custody.

At the same time Ibrahim's role is being downplayed, Lakhvi's known role is being exaggerated. Initial reports described him as the training specialist for LeT, but the major media outlets like the New York Times and the London [Images] Times, citing government sources, have since promoted his status to that of commander of operations for the group.

The only terrorist from the Mumbai attacks to be captured alive, Ajmal Amir Kasab [Images], characterised Ibrahim, not Lakhvi, as the mastermind of those attacks, according to earlier press accounts.

Kasab reportedly told his interrogators that he and his fellow terrorists were trained under Lakhvi, also known as Chacha (uncle), at a camp in Pakistan. Indian officials also traced calls from a satellite phone used by the terrorists to Lakhvi.

But the phone had also been used to call Yusuf Muzammil, also known as Abu Yusuf, Abu Hurrera, and "Yahah". And it has been Muzammil, not Lakhvi, who has previously been described as the military commander of the LeT. It was an intercepted call to Muzammil on November 18 that put the Indian Navy and Coast Guard on high alert to be on the lookout for any foreign vessels from Pakistan entering Indian waters.

Kasab told his interrogators that his team had set out from Karachi, Pakistan, on a ship belonging to Dawood Ibrahim, the MV Alpha. They then hijacked an Indian fishing trawler, the Kuber, to pass through Indian territorial waters to elude the Navy and Coast Guard that were boarding and searching suspect ships.

Although the MV Alpha was subsequently found and seized by the Indian Navy, there have been few, if any, developments about this aspect of the investigation in press accounts, such as whether it has been confirmed or not that the ship was owned by Ibrahim.

Upon arriving off the coast near the city, they were received by inflatable rubber dinghies that had been arranged by an associate of Ibrahim's in Mumbai.

The planning and execution of the attacks are indicative of the mastermind role not of either Lakhvi or Muzammil, but of Ibrahim, an Indian who is intimately familiar with the city. It was in Mumbai that Ibrahim rose through the ranks of the underworld to become a major organised crime boss.

At least two other Indians were also connected to the attacks, Mukhtar Ahmed and Tausef Rahman. They were arrested for their role in obtaining SIM cards used in the cell phones of the terrorists. Ahmed, according to Indian officials, had in fact been recruited by a special counter-insurgency police task force as an undercover operative. His exact role is still being investigated.

One of the SIM cards used was possibly purchased from New Jersey. Investigators are looking into this potential link to the US, as well.

Dawood Ibrahim went from underworld kingpin to terrorist in 1993, when he was connected to a series of bombings in Mumbai that resulted in 250 deaths. He is wanted by Interpol and was designated by the US as a global terrorist in 2003.

It Is believed Ibrahim has been residing in Karachi, and Indian officials have accused Pakistan's ISI of protecting him.

Ibrahim is known to be a major drug trafficker responsible for shipping narcotics into the United Kingdom and Western Europe.

According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, most Afghan opium (or its derivative, heroin, which is increasingly being produced in the country before export) is smuggled through Iran and Turkey en route by land to Europe; but the percentage that goes to Pakistan seems to mostly find its way directly to the UK, either by plane or by ship.

Afghanistan is the world's leading producer of opium, a trend that developed during the CIA-backed mujahedeen effort to oust the Soviet Union from the country, with the drug trade serving to help finance the war.

A known drug trafficker, Dawood Ibrahim is naturally also involved in money laundering, which is perhaps where the role of gambling operations in Nepal comes into the picture.

Yoichi Shimatsu, former editor of the Japan [Images] Times, wrote last month after the Mumbai attacks that Ibrahim had worked with the US to help finance the mujahedeen during the 1980s and that because he knows too much about the US's 'darker secrets' in the region, he could never be allowed to be turned over to India.

The recent promotion of Lakhvi to 'mastermind' of the attacks while Ibrahim's name disappears from media reports would seem to lend credence to Shimatsu's assertion.

Investigative journalist Wayne Madsen similarly reported that according to intelligence sources, Ibrahim is a CIA asset, both as a veteran of the mujahedeen war and in a continuing connection with his casino and drug trade operations in Kathmandu, Nepal. A deal had been made earlier this year to have Pakistan hand Ibrahim over to India, but the CIA was fearful that this would lead to too many of its dirty secrets coming to light, including the criminal activities of high level personnel within the agency.

One theory on the Mumbai attacks is that it was backlash for this double-cross that was among other things intended to serve as a warning that any such arrangement could have further serious consequences.

Although designated as a major international terrorist by the US, media reports in India have characterised the US's past interest in seeing Ibrahim handed over as less than enthusiastic. Former Indian deputy prime minister L K Advani [Images] wrote in his memoir, My Country, My Life, that he made a great effort to get Pakistan to hand over Ibrahim, and met with then US secretary of state Colin Powell and then national security advisor Condoleezza Rice [Images] (now secretary of state) to pressure Pakistan to do so. But he was informed by Powell that Pakistan would hand over Ibrahim only "with some strings attached" and that then Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf [Images] would need more time before doing so.

The handover, needless to say, never occurred. The Pakistan government has also publicly denied that Ibrahim is even in the country; a denial that was repeated following the recent Mumbai attacks.

Others suspected of involvement in the attacks and named among the 20 individuals India wants Pakistan to turn over also have possible connections to the CIA, including Hafiz Mohammad Saeed, the founder of LeT, and Jaish-e-Mohammed leader Maulana Masood Azhar, both veterans of the CIA-backed mujahedeen effort.

Azhar had been captured in 1994 and imprisoned in India for his role as leader of the Pakistani-based terrorist group Harkut-ul-Mujahideen. He was released, however, in 1999 in exchange for hostages from the takeover of Indian Airlines Flight 814, which was hijacked during its flight from Kathmandu, Nepal to Delhi [Images], India and redirected to Afghanistan. After Azhar's release, he formed JeM, which was responsible for an attack on the Indian Parliament in 2001 that led Pakistan and India to the brink of war. LeT was also blamed for the attack alongside JeM.

Both LeT and JeM have links to the ISI, which has used the groups as proxies in the conflict with India over the territory of Kashmir.

Saeed travelled to Peshawar to join the mujahedeen cause during the Soviet-Afghan war. Peshawar served as the base of operations for the CIA, which worked closely with the ISI to finance, arm, and train the mujahedeen. It was in Peshawar that Saeed became the protege of Abdullah Azzam, who founded an organization called Maktab al-Khidamat along with a Saudi individual named Osama bin Laden [Images].

MaK worked alongside the CIA-ISI operations to recruit Arabs to the ranks of the mujahedeen. The ISI, acting as proxy for the CIA, chose mainly to channel its support to Afghans, such as warlord Gulbaddin Hekmatyar. The US claims the CIA had no relationship with MaK, but bin Laden's operation, which later evolved into Al Qaeda [Images], must certainly have been known to, and approved by, the CIA.

But there are indications that the CIA's relationship with MaK and Al Qaeda go well beyond having shared a common enemy and mutual interests in the Soviet-Afghan war. A number of Al Qaeda associates appear to have been protected individuals.

Another former head of the ISI is now being privately accused by the US of involvement with the group responsible for the Mumbai attacks, according to reports citing a document listing former ISI chief Lieutenant General Hamid Gul and four other former heads of Pakistan's intelligence agency as being involved in supporting terrorist networks. The individuals named have been recommended to the UN Security Council to be named as international terrorists, according to Pakistan's The News.

The document has been provided to the Pakistan government and also accuses Gul, who was head of the ISI from 1987 to 1989, of providing assistance to criminal groups in Kabul, as well as to groups responsible for recruiting and training militants to attack US-led forces in Afghanistan, including the Taliban [Images].

Hamid Gul responded to the reports by calling the allegations hilarious. The US denied that it had made any such recommendations to the UN.

But the US has similarly accused the ISI of involvement in the bombing of India's embassy in Kabul last July. This was unusual not because of the allegation of an ISI connection to terrorism but because it was in such stark contrast with US attempts to publicly portray Pakistan as a staunch ally in its 'war on terrorism' when the country was under the dictatorship of Musharraf.

The US attitude toward Pakistan shifted once an elected government came to power that has been more willing to side with the overwhelming belief among the public that it is the 'war on terrorism' itself that has exacerbated the problem of extremist militant groups and led to further terrorist attacks within the country, such as the assassination of former prime minister Benazir Bhutto [Images] last year or the bombing of the Marriot Hotel in September. While the world's attention has been focused on the attacks in Mumbai, a bomb blast in Peshawar killed 21 and injured 90.

While the purported US document names Gul and others as terrorist supporters, another report, from Indian intelligence, indicates that the terrorists who carried out the attacks in Mumbai were among 500 trained by instructors from the Pakistan military, according to The Times. This training of the 10 known Mumbai terrorists would have taken place prior to their recent preparation for these specific attacks by the LeT training specialist Zaki-ur Rehman Lakhvi.

But while Lakhvi, Muzammil, and Hafiz Saeed [Images] have continued to be named in connection with last month's attacks in Mumbai, the name of Dawood Ibrahim seems to be either disappearing altogether or his originally designated role as the accused mastermind of the attacks being credited now instead to Lakhvi in media accounts.

Whether this is a deliberate effort to downplay Ibrahim's role in the attacks so as not to have to force Pakistan to turn him over because of embarrassing revelations pertaining to the CIA's involvement with known terrorists and drug traffickers that development could possibly produce isn't certain.

But what is certain is that the CIA has had a long history of involvement with such characters and that the US has a track record of attempting to keep information about the nature of such involvement in the dark or to cover it up once it reaches the light of public scrutiny.

Jeremy R Hammond is the editor of Foreign Policy Journal. Reproduced with kind courtesy of Foreign Policy Journal.

 


 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Pakistan March 9, 2007 to end-2008

Musharraf suspends chief justice
Pakistani President Gen. Pervez Musharraf suspends Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry on allegations of misconduct. Pakistani lawyers take to the streets in droves to protest the move.
   May 2007
Hotel bomb blast kills 24
A bomb blast tied to rallies over Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry's suspension kills 24 in Peshawar.
   July 10, 2007
Pakistani security forces storm Islamabad's Red Mosque
After a week-long siege, Pakistani security forces storm Islamabad's Red Mosque, attacking alleged al-Qaida militants inside. Nearly 100 people are killed in the raid.
   July 20, 2007
Supreme Court reinstates Chaudhry
The Pakistani Supreme Court reinstates Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry.
   July 27, 2007
Musharraf meets with Bhutto
Exiled former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto meets with President Pervez Musharraf in Abu Dhabi to talk about a possible power-sharing deal.
   Sept. 10, 2007
Sharif returns from exile, is expelled
Exiled former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif returns to Pakistan only to be arrested upon landing at Islamabad Airport and sent back to Saudi Arabia.
   October 2007
Musharraf wins re-election
President Pervez Musharraf wins the majority vote in the presidential election on Oct. 6, but the Supreme Court asserts that no winner can be announced until it decides if the president can be a standing army chief.
Benazir Bhutto returns from exile Oct. 18. A suicide bomber targeting her convoy kills more than 100 people, though she escapes the attack unharmed.
   November 2007
Musharraf declares state of emergency
President Gen. Pervez Musharraf declares a state of emergency on Nov. 3 to clamp down on growing anti-government protests. While awaiting the verdict from the Supreme Court on whether his candidacy was legitimate, Musharraf again removes Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry. A reshaped Supreme Court later dismisses the challenges to his presidency. Under intense political pressure, Musharraf resigns his military post on Nov. 29 and pledges to end emergency rule.
   December 2007
Emergency rule ends; Bhutto assassinated
Now civilian President Pervez Musharraf follows through with his pledge to end emergency rule, moving on Dec. 15 to rescind his order. On Dec. 29, a suicide attacker kills opposition leader Benazir Bhutto as she campaigned ahead of critical parliamentary elections set for early 2008.
   February 2008
Opposition parties win in parliamentary elections
The Pakistan Peoples Party wins the most seats in parliamentary elections and soon forms an alliance with Pakistan Muslim League-N to seek the reinstatement of judges fired by Musharraf and to reduce his powers.
   August 2008
Musharraf resigns
Facing growing pressure from Pakistan's Parliament and the threat of impeachment, Musharraf announces on Aug. 18 that he will step down as president.
   September 2008
Zardari elected
Asif Ali Zardari, the widower of former premier Benazir Bhutto and leader of the Pakistan People's Party, was elected Sept. 6 as president of Pakistan.


 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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A 2008 timeline


A 2008 timeline

 
 
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N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Which countries have the most troops in Afghanistan?


FACTBOX: Which countries have the most troops in Afghanistan?

Tue Dec 30, 2008 3:29am EST
(Reuters) - Pakistan suspended supplies to foreign forces in Afghanistan on Tuesday, as its security forces launched an operation against militants in the strategic Khyber Pass border region, a government official said.
Neighbor Pakistan is a key supply route for more than 65,000 foreign troops from 41 nations stationed in Afghanistan to help the government fight a resurgent Taliban-led insurgency.
Here is a breakdown showing the main foreign forces in Afghanistan as of December 1, 2008.
* UNITED STATES: 35,000**
* BRITAIN: 8,745
* GERMANY: 3,600
* FRANCE: 2,785
* CANADA: 2,750
* ITALY: 2,350
* NETHERLANDS: 1,770
* POLAND: 1,130
* AUSTRALIA: 1,090
* TURKEY: 860
* SPAIN: 780
* ROMANIA: 740
* DENMARK: 700
** Includes about 15,000 U.S. troops who are part of U.S.-led Operation Enduring Freedom, not under NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) command.
-- The U.S. is expected to send up to 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan by the beginning of next summer
For a FACTBOX on Afghanistan's security forces see
AFGHAN-ARMY/NUMBERS

 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Monday, December 29, 2008

The Project for a “New Middle East”


Plans for Redrawing the Middle East: The Project for a "New Middle East"


Global Research, November 18, 2006


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"Hegemony is as old as Mankind…" -Zbigniew Brzezinski, former U.S. National Security Advisor


The term "New Middle East" was introduced to the world in June 2006 in Tel Aviv by U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (who was credited by the Western media for coining the term) in replacement of the older and more imposing term, the "Greater Middle East." 

This shift in foreign policy phraseology coincided with the inauguration of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Oil Terminal in the Eastern Mediterranean. The term and conceptualization of the "New Middle East," was subsequently heralded by the U.S. Secretary of State and the Israeli Prime Minister at the height of  the Anglo-American sponsored Israeli siege of Lebanon. Prime Minister Olmert and Secretary Rice had informed the international media that a project for a "New Middle East" was being launched from Lebanon.  

This announcement was a confirmation of an Anglo-American-Israeli "military roadmap" in the Middle East. This project, which has been in the  planning stages for several years, consists in creating an arc of instability, chaos, and violence extending from Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria to Iraq, the Persian Gulf, Iran, and the borders of NATO-garrisoned Afghanistan.

The "New Middle East" project was introduced publicly by Washington and Tel Aviv with the expectation that Lebanon would be the pressure point for realigning the whole Middle East and thereby unleashing the forces of "constructive chaos." This "constructive chaos" --which generates conditions of violence and warfare throughout the region-- would in turn be used so that the United States, Britain, and Israel could redraw the map of the Middle East in accordance with their geo-strategic needs and objectives.

New Middle East Map

Secretary Condoleezza Rice stated during a press conference that "[w]hat we're seeing here [in regards to the destruction of Lebanon and the Israeli attacks on Lebanon], in a sense, is the growing—the 'birth pangs'—of a 'New Middle East' and whatever we do we [meaning the United States] have to be certain that we're pushing forward to the New Middle East [and] not going back to the old one."1 Secretary Rice was immediately criticized for her statements both within Lebanon and internationally for expressing indifference to the suffering of an entire nation, which was being bombed  indiscriminately by the Israeli Air Force. 

The Anglo-American Military Roadmap in the Middle East and Central Asia 

U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's speech on the "New Middle East" had set the stage. The Israeli attacks on Lebanon --which had been fully endorsed by Washington and London-- have further compromised and validated the existence of the geo-strategic objectives of the United States, Britain, and Israel. According to Professor Mark Levine the "neo-liberal globalizers and neo-conservatives, and ultimately the Bush Administration, would latch on to creative destruction as a way of describing the process by which they hoped to create their new world orders," and that "creative destruction [in] the United States was, in the words of neo-conservative philosopher and Bush adviser Michael Ledeen, 'an awesome revolutionary force' for (…) creative destruction…"2

Anglo-American occupied Iraq, particularly Iraqi Kurdistan, seems to be the preparatory ground for the balkanization (division) and finlandization (pacification) of the Middle East. Already the legislative framework, under the Iraqi Parliament and the name of Iraqi federalization, for the partition of Iraq into three portions is being drawn out. (See map below)

Moreover, the Anglo-American military roadmap appears to be vying an entry into Central Asia via the Middle East. The Middle East, Afghanistan, and Pakistan are stepping stones for extending U.S. influence into the former Soviet Union and the ex-Soviet Republics of Central Asia. The Middle East is to some extent the southern tier of Central Asia. Central Asia in turn is also termed as "Russia's Southern Tier" or the Russian "Near Abroad."

Many Russian and Central Asian scholars, military planners, strategists, security advisors, economists, and politicians consider Central Asia ("Russia's Southern Tier") to be the vulnerable and "soft under-belly" of the Russian Federation.3

It should be noted that in his book, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geo-strategic Imperatives, Zbigniew Brzezinski, a former U.S. National Security Advisor, alluded to the modern Middle East as a control lever of an area he, Brzezinski, calls the Eurasian Balkans. The Eurasian Balkans consists of the Caucasus (Georgia, the Republic of Azerbaijan, and Armenia) and Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan) and to some extent both Iran and Turkey. Iran and Turkey both form the northernmost tiers of the Middle East (excluding the Caucasus4) that edge into Europe and the former Soviet Union.

The Map of the "New Middle East"

A relatively unknown map of the Middle East, NATO-garrisoned Afghanistan, and Pakistan has been circulating around strategic, governmental, NATO, policy and military circles since mid-2006. It has been causally allowed to surface in public, maybe in an attempt to build consensus and to slowly prepare the general public for possible, maybe even cataclysmic, changes in the Middle East. This is a map of a redrawn and restructured Middle East identified as the "New Middle East."

MAP OF THE NEW MIDDLE EAST


Map: click to enlarge

Note:
The following map was prepared by Lieutenant-Colonel Ralph Peters. It was published in the Armed Forces Journal in June 2006, Peters is a retired colonel of the U.S. National War Academy. (Map Copyright Lieutenant-Colonel Ralph Peters 2006).

Although the map does not officially reflect Pentagon doctrine, it has been used in a training program at NATO's Defense College for senior military officers. This map, as well as other similar maps, has most probably been used at the National War Academy as well as in military planning circles.
 



This map of the "New Middle East" seems to be based on several other maps, including older maps of potential boundaries in the Middle East extending back to the era of U.S. President Woodrow Wilson and World War I. This map is showcased and presented as the brainchild of retired Lieutenant-Colonel (U.S. Army) Ralph Peters, who believes the redesigned borders contained in the map will fundamentally solve the problems of the contemporary Middle East.

The map of the "New Middle East" was a key element in the retired Lieutenant-Colonel's book, Never Quit the Fight, which was released to the public on July 10, 2006. This map of a redrawn Middle East was also published, under the title of Blood Borders: How a better Middle East would look, in the U.S. military's Armed Forces Journal with commentary from Ralph Peters.5

It should be noted that Lieutenant-Colonel Peters was last posted to the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, within the U.S. Defence Department, and has been one of the Pentagon's foremost authors with numerous essays on strategy for military journals and U.S. foreign policy.

It has been written that Ralph Peters' "four previous books on strategy have been highly influential in government and military circles," but one can be pardoned for asking if in fact quite the opposite could be taking place. Could it be Lieutenant-Colonel Peters is revealing and putting forward what Washington D.C. and its strategic planners have anticipated for the Middle East?

The concept of a redrawn Middle East has been presented as a "humanitarian" and "righteous" arrangement that would benefit the people(s) of the Middle East and its peripheral regions. According to Ralph Peter's:

International borders are never completely just. But the degree of injustice they inflict upon those whom frontiers force together or separate makes an enormous difference — often the difference between freedom and oppression, tolerance and atrocity, the rule of law and terrorism, or even peace and war.

The most arbitrary and distorted borders in the world are in Africa and the Middle East. Drawn by self-interested Europeans (who have had sufficient trouble defining their own frontiers), Africa's borders continue to provoke the deaths of millions of local inhabitants. But the unjust borders in the Middle East — to borrow from Churchill — generate more trouble than can be consumed locally.

While the Middle East has far more problems than dysfunctional borders alone — from cultural stagnation through scandalous inequality to deadly religious extremism — the greatest taboo in striving to understand the region's comprehensive failure isn't Islam, but the awful-but-sacrosanct international boundaries worshipped by our own diplomats.

Of course, no adjustment of borders, however draconian, could make every minority in the Middle East happy. In some instances, ethnic and religious groups live intermingled and have intermarried. Elsewhere, reunions based on blood or belief might not prove quite as joyous as their current proponents expect. The boundaries projected in the maps accompanying this article redress the wrongs suffered by the most significant "cheated" population groups, such as the Kurds, Baluch and Arab Shia [Muslims], but still fail to account adequately for Middle Eastern Christians, Bahais, Ismailis, Naqshbandis and many another numerically lesser minorities. And one haunting wrong can never be redressed with a reward of territory: the genocide perpetrated against the Armenians by the dying Ottoman Empire.

Yet, for all the injustices the borders re-imagined here leave unaddressed, without such major boundary revisions, we shall never see a more peaceful Middle East.

Even those who abhor the topic of altering borders would be well-served to engage in an exercise that attempts to conceive a fairer, if still imperfect, amendment of national boundaries between the Bosphorus and the Indus. Accepting that international statecraft has never developed effective tools — short of war — for readjusting faulty borders, a mental effort to grasp the Middle East's "organic" frontiers nonetheless helps us understand the extent of the difficulties we face and will continue to face. We are dealing with colossal, man-made deformities that will not stop generating hatred and violence until they are corrected. 6

(emphasis added)

"Necessary Pain"

Besides believing that there is "cultural stagnation" in the Middle East, it must be noted that Ralph Peters admits that his propositions are "draconian" in nature, but he insists that they are necessary pains for the people of the Middle East. This view of necessary pain and suffering is in startling parallel to U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's belief that the devastation of Lebanon by the Israeli military was a necessary pain or "birth pang" in order to create the "New Middle East" that Washington, London, and Tel Aviv envision.

Moreover, it is worth noting that the subject of the Armenian Genocide is being politicized and stimulated in Europe to offend Turkey.7

The overhaul, dismantlement, and reassembly of the nation-states of the Middle East have been packaged as a solution to the hostilities in the Middle East, but this is categorically misleading, false, and fictitious. The advocates of a "New Middle East" and redrawn boundaries in the region avoid and fail to candidly depict the roots of the problems and conflicts in the contemporary Middle East. What the media does not acknowledge is the fact that almost all major conflicts afflicting the Middle East are the consequence of overlapping Anglo-American-Israeli agendas.  

Many of the problems affecting the contemporary Middle East are the result of the deliberate aggravation of pre-existing regional tensions. Sectarian division, ethnic tension and internal violence have been traditionally exploited by the United States and Britain in various parts of the globe including Africa, Latin America, the Balkans, and the Middle East. Iraq is just one of many examples of the Anglo-American strategy of "divide and conquer." Other examples are Rwanda, Yugoslavia, the Caucasus, and Afghanistan. 

Amongst the problems in the contemporary Middle East is the lack of genuine democracy which U.S. and British foreign policy has actually been deliberately obstructing.  Western-style "Democracy" has been a requirement only for those Middle Eastern states which do not conform to Washington's political demands. Invariably, it constitutes a pretext for confrontation. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan are examples of undemocratic states that the United States has no problems with because they are firmly alligned within the Anglo-American orbit or sphere.

Additionally, the United States has deliberately blocked or displaced genuine democratic movements in the Middle East from Iran in 1953 (where a U.S./U.K. sponsored coup was staged against the democratic government of Prime Minister Mossadegh) to Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, the Arab Sheikdoms, and Jordan where the Anglo-American alliance supports military control, absolutists, and dictators in one form or another. The latest example of this is Palestine. 

The Turkish Protest at NATO's Military College in Rome

Lieutenant-Colonel Ralph Peters' map of the "New Middle East" has sparked angry reactions in Turkey. According to Turkish press releases on September 15, 2006 the map of the "New Middle East" was displayed in NATO's Military College in Rome, Italy. It was additionally reported that Turkish officers were immediately outraged by the presentation of a portioned and segmented Turkey.8 The map received some form of approval from the U.S. National War Academy before it was unveiled in front of NATO officers in Rome.

The Turkish Chief of Staff, General Buyukanit, contacted the U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Peter Pace, and protested the event and the exhibition of the redrawn map of the Middle East, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.9 Furthermore the Pentagon has gone out of its way to assure Turkey that the map does not reflect official U.S. policy and objectives in the region, but this seems to be conflicting with Anglo-American actions in the Middle East and NATO-garrisoned Afghanistan. 

Is there a Connection between Zbigniew Brzezinski's "Eurasian Balkans" and the "New Middle East" Project?

The following are important excerpts and passages from former U.S. National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski's book, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geo-strategic Imperatives. Brzezinski also states that both Turkey and Iran, the two most powerful states of the "Eurasian Balkans," located on its southern tier, are "potentially vulnerable to internal ethnic conflicts [balkanization]," and that, "If either or both of them were to be destabilized, the internal problems of the region would become unmanageable."10

It seems that a divided and balkanized Iraq would be the best means of accomplishing this. Taking what we know from the White House's own admissions; there is a belief that "creative destruction and chaos" in the Middle East are beneficial assets to reshaping the Middle East, creating the "New Middle East," and furthering the Anglo-American roadmap in the Middle East and Central Asia: 

In Europe, the Word "Balkans" conjures up images of ethnic conflicts and great-power regional rivalries. Eurasia, too, has its "Balkans," but the Eurasian Balkans are much larger, more populated, even more religiously and ethnically heterogenous. They are located within that large geographic oblong that demarcates the central zone of global instability (...) that embraces portions of southeastern Europe, Central Asia and parts of South Asia [Pakistan, Kashmir, Western India], the Persian Gulf area, and the Middle East.

The Eurasian Balkans form the inner core of that large oblong (…) they differ from its outer zone in one particularly significant way: they are a power vacuum. Although most of the states located in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East are also unstable, American power is that region's [meaning the Middle East's] ultimate arbiter. The unstable region in the outer zone is thus an area of single power hegemony and is tempered by that hegemony. In contrast, the Eurasian Balkans are truly reminiscent of the older, more familiar Balkans of southeastern Europe: not only are its political entities unstable but they tempt and invite the intrusion of more powerful neighbors, each of whom is determined to oppose the region's domination by another. It is this familiar combination of a power vacuum and power suction that justifies the appellation "Eurasian Balkans."

The traditional Balkans represented a potential geopolitical prize in the struggle for European supremacy. The Eurasian Balkans, astride the inevitably emerging transportation network meant to link more directly Eurasia's richest and most industrious western and eastern extremities, are also geopolitically significant. Moreover, they are of importance from the standpoint of security and historical ambitions to at least three of their most immediate and more powerful neighbors, namely, Russia, Turkey, and Iran, with China also signaling an increasing political interest in the region. But the Eurasian Balkans are infinitely more important as a potential economic prize: an enormous concentration of natural gas and oil reserves is located in the region, in addition to important minerals, including gold.

 The world's energy consumption is bound to vastly increase over the next two or three decades. Estimates by the U.S. Department of Energy anticipate that world demand will rise by more than 50 percent between 1993 and 2015, with the most significant increase in consumption occurring in the Far East. The momentum of Asia's economic development is already generating massive pressures for the exploration and exploitation of new sources of energy, and the Central Asian region and the Caspian Sea basin are known to contain reserves of natural gas and oil that dwarf those of Kuwait, the Gulf of Mexico, or the North Sea.

Access to that resource and sharing in its potential wealth represent objectives that stir national ambitions, motivate corporate interests, rekindle historical claims, revive imperial aspirations, and fuel international rivalries. The situation is made all the more volatile by the fact that the region is not only a power vacuum but is also internally unstable.

(…)

The Eurasian Balkans include nine countries that one way or another fit the foregoing description, with two others as potential candidates. The nine are Kazakstan [alternative and official spelling of Kazakhstan] , Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia—all of them formerly part of the defunct Soviet Union—as well as Afghanistan.

The potential additions to the list are Turkey and Iran, both of them much more politically and economically viable, both active contestants for regional influence within the Eurasian Balkans, and thus both significant geo-strategic players in the region. At the same time, both are potentially vulnerable to internal ethnic conflicts. If either or both of them were to be destabilized, the internal problems of the region would become unmanageable, while efforts to restrain regional domination by Russia could even become futile. 11

(emphasis added)

Redrawing the Middle East

The Middle East, in some regards, is a striking parallel to the Balkans and Central-Eastern Europe during the years leading up the First World War. In the wake of the the First World War the borders of the Balkans and Central-Eastern Europe were redrawn. This region experienced a period of upheaval, violence and conflict, before and after World War I, which was the direct result of foreign economic interests and interference.

 

The reasons behind the First World War are more sinister than the standard school-book explanation, the assassination of the heir to the throne of the Austro-Hungarian (Habsburg) Empire, Archduke Franz Ferdinand, in Sarajevo. Economic factors were the real motivation for the large-scale war in 1914.


Norman Dodd, a former Wall Street banker and investigator for the U.S. Congress, who examined  U.S. tax-exempt foundations, confirmed in a 1982 interview that those powerful individuals who from behind the scenes controlled the finances, policies, and government of the United States had in fact also planned U.S. involvement in a war, which would contribute to entrenching their grip on power.

The following testimonial is from the transcript of Norman Dodd's interview with G. Edward Griffin;


We are now at the year 1908, which was the year that the Carnegie Foundation began operations.  And, in that year, the trustees meeting, for the first time, raised a specific question, which they discussed throughout the balance of the year, in a very learned fashion.  And the question is this:  Is there any means known more effective than war, assuming you wish to alter the life of an entire people?  And they conclude that, no more effective means to that end is known to humanity, than war.  So then, in 1909, they raise the second question, and discuss it, namely, how do we involve the United States in a war?

Well, I doubt, at that time, if there was any subject more removed from the thinking of most of the people of this country [the United States], than its involvement in a war.  There were intermittent shows [wars] in the Balkans, but I doubt very much if many people even knew where the Balkans were.  And finally, they answer that question as follows:  we must control the State Department.

And then, that very naturally raises the question of how do we do that?  They answer it by saying, we must take over and control the diplomatic machinery of this country and, finally, they resolve to aim at that as an objective.  Then, time passes, and we are eventually in a war, which would be World War I.  At that time, they record on their minutes a shocking report in which they dispatch to President Wilson a telegram cautioning him to see that the war does not end too quickly.  And finally, of course, the war is over.

At that time, their interest shifts over to preventing what they call a reversion of life in the
United States to what it was prior to 1914, when World War I broke out.

(emphasis added)

The redrawing and partition of the Middle East from the Eastern Mediterranean shores of Lebanon and Syria to Anatolia (Asia Minor), Arabia, the Persian Gulf, and the Iranian Plateau responds to broad economic, strategic and military objectives, which are part of a longstanding Anglo-American and Israeli agenda in the region.

The Middle East has been conditioned by outside forces into a powder keg that is ready to explode with the right trigger, possibly the launching of Anglo-American and/or Israeli air raids against Iran and Syria. A wider war in the Middle East could result in redrawn borders that are strategically advantageous to Anglo-American interests and Israel.

NATO-garrisoned Afghanistan has been successfully divided, all but in name. Animosity has been inseminated in the Levant, where a Palestinian civil war is being nurtured and divisions in Lebanon agitated. The Eastern Mediterranean has been successfully militarized by NATO. Syria and Iran continue to be demonized by the Western media, with a view to justifying a military agenda. In turn, the Western media has fed, on a daily basis, incorrect and biased notions that the populations of Iraq cannot co-exist and that the conflict is not a war of occupation but a "civil war" characterised by domestic strife between Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds.

Attempts at intentionally creating animosity between the different ethno-cultural and religious groups of the
Middle East have been systematic. In fact, they are part of a carefully designed covert intelligence agenda.

Even more ominous, many Middle Eastern governments, such as that of Saudi Arabia, are assisting Washington in fomenting divisions between Middle Eastern populations. The ultimate objective is to weaken the resistance movement against foreign occupation through a "divide and conquer strategy" which serves Anglo-American and Israeli interests in the broader region.  

 

Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya is in an independent writer based in Ottawa specializing in Middle Eastern and Central Asian affairs. He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). 


Notes 

1 Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, Special Briefing on the Travel to the Middle East and Europe of Secretary Condoleezza Rice (Press Conference, U.S. State Department, Washington, D.C., July 21, 2006).

http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2006/69331.htm

2 Professor Mark LeVine, The New Creative Destruction, Asia Times, August 22, 2006.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HH22Ak01.html

3 Professor Andrej Kreutz, The Geopolitics of post-Soviet Russia and the Middle East, Arab Studies Quarterly (ASQ) (Washington, D.C.: Association of Arab-American University Graduates, January 2002). 

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2501/is_1_24/ai_93458168/pg_1

4 The Caucasus or Caucasia can be considered as part of the Middle East or as a separate region

5 Lieutenant-Colonel (retired) Ralph Peters, Blood borders: How a better Middle East would look, Armed Forces Journal (AFJ), June 2006.

http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2006/06/1833899

6 Ibid.

7 Crispian Balmer, French MPs back Armenia genocide bill, Turkey angry, Reuters, October 12, 2006.

James McConalogue, French against Turks: Talking about Armenian Genocide, The Brussels Journal, October 10, 2006.

http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/1585

8 Suleyman Kurt, Carved-up Map of Turkey at NATO Prompts U.S. Apology, Zaman (Turkey), September 29, 2006.

http://www.zaman.com/?bl=international&alt=&hn=36919

9 Ibid.

10 Zbigniew Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geo-strategic Imperatives (New York City: Basic Books, 1997).

http://www.perseusbooksgroup.com/basic/book_detail.jsp?isbn=0465027261

11 Ibid.



Related Global Research articles on the March to War in the Middle East

US naval war games off the Iranian coastline: A provocation which could lead to War? 2006-10-24

"Cold War Shivers:" War Preparations in the Middle East and Central Asia 2006-10-06


The March to War: Naval build-up in the Persian Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean 2006-10-01

The March to War: Iran Preparing for US Air Attacks 2006-09-21

The Next Phase of the Middle East War 2006-09-04

Baluchistan and the Coming Iran War 2006-09-01

British Troops Mobilizing on the Iranian Border 2006-08-30

Russia and Central Asian Allies Conduct War Games in Response to US Threats 2006-08-24

Beating the Drums of War: US Troop Build-up: Army & Marines authorize "Involuntary Conscription" 2006-08-23

Iranian War Games: Exercises, Tests, and Drills or Preparation and Mobilization for War? 2006-08-21

Triple Alliance:" The US, Turkey, Israel and the War on Lebanon 2006-08-06 
 
The War on Lebanon and the Battle for Oil 2006-07-26  

Is the Bush Administration Planning a Nuclear Holocaust? 2006-02-22 
 
The Dangers of a Middle East Nuclear War 2006-02-17 
 
Nuclear War against Iran 2006-01-03 
 
Israeli Bombings could lead to Escalation of Middle East War 2006-07-15 
 
Iran: Next Target of US Military Aggression 2005-05-01 
 
Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran 2005-05-01


Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya is a frequent contributor to Global Research.  Global Research Articles by Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya

 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Saturday, December 27, 2008

Zardari given enough rope to hang himself

Zardari given enough rope to hang himself
 
By Shaheen Sehbai
Friday, December 26, 2008
WASHINGTON: The one question that I am repeatedly asked by everyone, believing that I have been quite close to Asif Ali Zardari during his days of self-exile and forced expulsion from politics for many years, is how long he and his government will survive.

It is hard to answer this very loaded and complex question almost on a daily basis, especially when people think everyone who comes to Washington from Pakistan knows something more than they do. So I have decided to pen down my answer.

My considered opinion is that the present Zardari-led set-up will not last long as it has been structured on a wrong and distorted political premise as result of which the key players who have emerged as main power wielders were never in the picture, neither of Benazir Bhutto's PPP, which actually got the votes and won the seats in the February 18 elections, nor anyone else. And these new players have failed to establish their political legitimacy and moral authority through their actions after coming to power.

These power players do not have any political ideology, they do not believe in the established principles of democracy and parliamentary process enshrined in the constitution and most important of all, they do not have a following among the masses, which is necessary for any political government worth its name.

What has happened is that in extraordinary turbulent circumstances, the Zardari Group of the PPP has taken over the party, out-manoeuvring the others through opportunities created by circumstances followed up cleverly by a web of deceit, chicanery and in some specific cases simple lies and cheating. Taking full advantage, Zardari formed a group of his cronies who had nothing to do with the PPP or its politics for years. Who could imagine that Rehman Malik, Farooq Naek, Babar Awan, Salman Farooqi, Husain Haqqani, Hussain Haroon, Dr Asim, Dr Soomro, Riaz Laljee, Siraj Shamsuddin, Zulfikar Mirza, Agha Siraj Durrani and many other smaller but tainted friends and associates of Mr Zardari would suddenly take over every important position and start calling the shots?

The above statements may seem bold, and to some, outrageous, but each one of these statements can be substantiated with specific and undeniable examples and proof. Of course Zardari and his cronies will deny this, screaming from every rooftop that he is genuine and represents the people's will. But does, or will, anyone believe him?

To begin with, in the chaos that followed Benazir's death, Asif Ali Zardari took over the party (PPP), the government, the parliament, the presidency and the judiciary. That was some achievement but the way he did it angered friends and foes alike. That is why he has been grappling with an enormous trust deficit, both domestically and abroad.

Has any prime minister who was elected unanimously or a president who secured a two-thirds majority ever looked so insecure that he had to repeatedly use questionable tactics to get his way through? Why is it that despite such strong support in parliament, he is working overtime every day to keep and tighten his hold on those state institutions not yet under his thumb — like the ISI, the Pakistan Army and some parts of the media?

His attempt to take over the ISI were foiled but he was asking for too much, too early. But given his nature, he will try again to control not just the ISI, but will also try to stuff the superior courts with Jiyala judges loyal to him and, if he gets the chance for which he will try his best, he will try to stuff the top Army hierarchy with his loyal generals.

This is where Mr Zardari will be stopped. That point may come as quickly as he tries to grab power. So in a way his own survival is in his own hands. But knowing Mr Zardari, I can predict he cannot stop himself. The unfortunate fact is that he cannot fathom what the judges movement has done to the body politic of the country and he cannot imagine what transformation the media has brought in the thinking of every man and woman in the country. He still lives in the '90s and cannot come out of that syndrome.

Step by step he has dismantled every pillar that Benazir Bhutto had painstakingly tried to build to strengthen politicians vis-a-vis the generals. In the many years that he was in New York, I never heard him discuss the Charter of Democracy or why the powers of the president should be cut. He would always discuss either some business deal or how he had outclassed other politicians in petty whimsical games. He never talked about any vision of a grand politically stable and strong Pakistan.

The illusion that he has become stronger than General Musharraf thus cannot make him a visionary overnight. As I know him, he is capable only to use these powers for his personal survival and security. But when an all-powerful Musharraf made mistakes, none of his powers could rescue him. Zardari has started by committing blunders.

He has survived so far because people expected a change and had to give him time. The safe window of opportunity that had opened up with the PPP victory was his safety valve, but for how long? He started when everyone wanted to give him time. Instead of building on that reservoir of sympathy, support and hope he has gone back on every promise he made publicly.

The 10 biggest blunders that will ultimately take him down can be listed as follows, though the full list may be too long:

1. Failure to show any enthusiasm to track down Benazir's killers. The mysterious and tragic apathy shown by him towards her assassination is a sore in every heart. The top PPP leadership every evening sits in cosy drawing rooms and speaks in derisory language about what he is doing and how.

2. Failure to support the judiciary sacked by Musharraf and adopting a hostile attitude towards Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry. He lost the chance to build grand support.

3. Unnecessary and grossly counter-productive support shown for Justice Abdul Hameed Dogar.

4. Failure to make any move towards repealing the 17th Amendment and strengthening parliament. In fact, he has taken the system to a super-presidential model with a prime minister now cribbing regularly about his lack of powers.

5. Betraying his political coalition partners by refusing to follow the Charter of Democracy and cheating them with false promises.

6. Opening himself and his party to blackmail by smaller coalition parties to an extent that the entire government has become a hostage, thus unable to take any major initiative.

7. Boasting about his capacity to get economic and financial aid from the so-called friends of Pakistan, making repeated visits to world capitals and finally, opting for the most damaging and least acceptable option of going to the IMF, thus admitting failure.

8. Keeping petty political bickering alive in Punjab through a nonsensical presence of Governor Salman Taseer, a Musharraf appointee.

9. Turning into a widely disliked person in Pakistan within months by letting Musharraf go scot-free and adopting all his sins and drawbacks.

10. Humiliating and then forcing loyal PPP leaders into submission.

No one is yet ready to destabilise the current political set-up and Mr Zardari has been given a rope, in fact a longish rope, obviously to hang himself with. What worries me is that he has not proved himself competent to rise to the occasion, has shown no urge or capacity to grow into the huge shoes that he so suddenly finds himself in and somehow he does not envision the broader canvas of politics and lives with all the fears and insecurities of the era of the '90s and his days of captivity. Thus he is using the rope with intense energy to tie himself up in knots and form a noose around his neck.

If all the above answer the question how long will he last, the next universal question everybody asks is: how will he be removed as he has all the numbers?

This is an easy question to answer. By his acts Mr Zardari has not endeared himself to anyone in the 10 months of his rule. The initial honeymoon with the PML-N apart, now his own party is on the brink of imploding. December 27 will be a crucial date. How and on what issue the party cracks up is moot, but pressure from the opposition, a wink from the right quarters and one major blunder by Zardari is all it will take. It took an all-powerful Musharraf not even a few weeks to go down; Zardari is just learning the tricks to survive. After all the humiliation, what are BB loyalists like Aitzaz Ahsan doing in the PPP?


 
 
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N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Wednesday, December 24, 2008

PPP A YEAR AFTER BENAZIR BHUTTO


 Benazir aides, appointees replaced
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
By By Faizan Bangash
LAHORE

THE first year of the Asif Zardari led PPP remained full of shocking surprises for the party workers as the incumbent leadership bade farewell to several close aides of Benazir Bhutto by replacing them with new faces.

Most of the senior PPP leaders who often acted as policy makers in the party and remained in the closest circle of slain party Chairperson Benazir Bhutto till December 27, 2007, were either made back benchers or removed from the posts on which they were appointed by BB. Nevertheless, the party Co Chairman Asif Ali Zardari has managed to keep the party intact so far and no rebellion within the party ranks has been witnessed since one year of Benazir Bhutto's assassination.

A view of PPP after one year of BB's assignation tells that party leaders including Naheed Khan and Dr Safdar Abbassi, who were the closest aides of Benazir Bhutto mostly, remained away from the political scene and had no role in addressing the grievances of Jialas.

Particularly Naheed Khan, who remained associated with Benazir for almost two decades, was least seen on the political scene. Her husband, Dr Safdar Abbassi, who is also a Senator and belongs to a very respected family of Larkana, quite close to Bhuttos, was also not seen playing any role in the party's decision making. Much to the surprise of the party workers, Munawwar Abbassi, the elder brother of Dr Safdar Abbassi was also not inducted in the Sindh cabinet for unknown reasons. This is noteworthy that this was the family, which not only remained in the closest circles of Benazir Bhutto but even that of party founder, Zulifkar Ali Bhutto.

Having put these figures on back seats, PPP leadership raised several doubts within the party ranks. Malik, a staunch party worker of PPP from Rawalpindi and the witness of October 18, Karsaz and December 27, Liaquat Bagh tragedies said in form of Benazir, we not only lost a mother but several others who always kept the party alive among the workers.

In the same province of Sindh, another important family, Talpurs from Khairpur, are also serving as backbenchers in the party despite their long relations with Bhuttos. Former federal minister and now an MNA, Yousaf Talpur, who was also one of the closest aides of BB wasn't even inducted in the cabinet this time, surely, the cabinet where workers are seeing the new faces in the form of Rehman Malik, Farooq H Naek and Sherry Rehman, the ministers who never had to contest any general election to get the key ministries.

Ghani Talpur, the brother of Yousaf is also an MNA. Similarly, Taimur Talpur, another scion of Talpurs and an MPA is not the part of provincial cabinet of Sindh Chief Minister Qaim Ali Shah.

The party workers, not only from Hala, Sindh but the entire country were surprised when Makhdoom Amin Fahim, one of the closest aides of slain party leader wasn't nominated for the slot of prime minister and fortune favoured Yousaf Raza Gillani. The nomination of Yousaf in March as the candidate for prime ministership raised several questions in the beginning, particularly among the people from Sindh who were just feeling further deprived from their right after losing another Bhutto.

However, the party co chairman managed to handle this situation quite well in September when it was Presidency, not the PM House where Asif Ali Zardari from Sindh took oath and it echoed with the slogans of 'Jiyay Bhutto'.

Former defence minister of Benazir Bhutto's 193 cabinet, Aftab Shahban Mirani managed to make his way to the Parliament, however, like other close aides, he is also not on the forefront.

Barrister Aitzaz Ahsan, the former Interior minister in 1988 and also a cabinet member of 1993 PPP government is still out the party scene. Apparently, his ways are also parted with the incumbent PPP leadership with his firm commitment for the restoration of deposed Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry. Aitzaz was one of the closest aides of Benazir Bhutto.

Situation in Punjab also gave some shocking surprises to the Jialas.

Apart from the joining of PPP by Mian Manzoor Ahmed Wattoo and his induction as an advisor in federal cabinet, the nomination of Salman Taseer as Punjab Governor also raised several eyebrows within the party ranks and the coalition partner, PML-N, also tried its best to fan the flames by terming the appointment as controversial.

Several party figures from Punjab including PPP General Secretary Jehangir Badr were not considered for the slot and once a PPP member but a minister in the caretaker cabinet of Pervez Musharraf in near past, Salman Taseer was appointed Punjab Governor. Nevertheless, the party workers later hailed the appointment as they found the Governor's House the best shield to counter their coalition partner cum rival PML-N in the province.

Moreover, there were also some changes in the party's Punjab organisations which raised many eyebrows within the party's cadres. One of the vibrant Jialas of PPP and party's Punjab General Secretary, Chaudhry Ghulam Abbas was replaced by PPP Lahore General Secretary Sami Ullah Khan. This overnight change was quite unexpected for the party ranks as under the general secretaryship of Ghulam Abbas, PPP somehow managed to give a comparatively better result than past by winning over 100 seats. Although Ghulam Abbas lost the general election even after bagging over 55000 votes, the performance of party under his leadership was better. Ghulam Abbas has also served as MPA in 1993 and have been one of the pioneer party figure from Sialkot.

Interestingly, he was replaced by Sami who served as the Lahore General Secretary where the party could not win even two provincial seats out of 25. Sami Ullah, a former MPA and a very vocal member of the Punjab Assembly, managed to get over 16,000 votes but lost the polls. The party ranks were perplexed about this change, which the leadership said was made based on performance.

Moreover, PPP Punjab Additional General Secretary and former MPA, Abdul Qadir Shaheen was replaced by Hasnat Shah, the runner up on an NA seat from Lahore.

Not only this, most of the BB appointees of the central secretariat in Islamabad including Ibne Rizvi and other worker, who remained associated with the party office since 1993 and was appointed by Benazir Bhutto were removed from the office and replaced by new ones.

 
 
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AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

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Saturday, December 20, 2008

Islamabad Tonight December 18, 19, 2008


http://pkpolitics.com/2008/12/19/islamabad-tonight-19-december-2008/
 
http://pkpolitics.com/2008/12/18/islamabad-tonight-18-december-2008/

 
 
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Government withholds funds for PAEC project

Government withholds funds for PAEC project
MUSHTAQ GHUMMAN
ISLAMABAD (December 19 2008): The federal government has withheld funds for a project to be executed by Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) for supplying indigenous uranium for the commissioned and planned nuclear power plants.

Official documents made available to Business Recorder reveal that the project 'new mineral survey scheme' was considered by the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (Ecnec) in its previous meeting (December 2008) wherein top bass of PAEC was questioned for demanding 'unjustifiable' funds for the project.

The documents further reveal that the project had been discussed in the pre-CDWP meeting on April 25, 2008 wherein all queries were addressed and PAEC agreed to utilise existing facilities for the repair and maintenance of heavy equipment instead of setting up a separate mechanical workshop and deleted the expenditure proposed for the regular employees as these would be met from the regular budget of PAEC.

Despite several clarifications given by PAEC management to the concerned quarters, the government believes that the project cost was still 'unjustifiable'. "PAEC may initiate activities from its own resources and the government would release the funds from the PSDP when financial situation would ease," the documents suggested.

The PC-II of the project proposes carrying out mineral survey for delineation of nuclear mineral resource of Pakistan (Phase-VI). The main objective of the project is to establish additional Reasonable Assured Reserves (RAR) of uranium and other nuclear minerals to meet the nuclear fuel requirement to generate 8800 MW electricity by 2030.

The geo-scientific activities in the 20 geological formations bearing uranium deposits would include regional geological surveys such as air borne, ground radiometric, geochemical, geophysical and remote sensing techniques.

Based on the outcome of these preliminary surveys, exploration activities at targeted and identified sites would be conducted involving detailed geological mapping, drilling and test mining operations leading to collection of representative samples, determination of their mineralogical and chemical composition and subjecting the bulk samples to bench and pilot plant scale tests to establish their techno-economic parameters.

The field and laboratory data so generated would be documented and analysed to categorise uranium deposits in various categories including RAR. This task involves multidiscipline and multiphase activities requiring additional equipment and manpower.

The budgeted estimated cost of the project was Rs 1085.392 million with FEC of Rs 486.018 million. The duration of the project was five years (2008-2013). According to documents, PAEC is of the view that the successful completion of the project would ensure uninterrupted supply of indigenous uranium for the ongoing and planned nuclear power plants in the country.

At present dependence on fossil fuel is 44.1 percent gas and 20.2 percent oil for power generation. The fossil fuel is depleting fast besides its price in international market is very vulnerable. Therefore, it is imperative to diversify the fuel mix in power generation. Accordingly the Energy Security Action Plan (ESAP) envisages increasing the share of nuclear power from 1 percent to 4.2 percent by installing 8800 MW nuclear power plants by 2030.

Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency (Pepa), Islamabad has issued NoC with the observations that the subject activity may not require environmental approval at this stage.

The nuclear mineral survey schemes were started in 1962 and since then have developed physical and human infrastructure and delivered ensured supply of uranium and other raw materials for the operation of nuclear power plants. PAEC is the only geo-scientific organisation in the country that has developed nuclear project from discovery to metal stage.

PAEC Lahore has been undertaking nuclear mineral surveys since 1962 and has completed Phase-I to IV. Further Phase-V of NMSS estimated to cost Rs 737.6 million (FEC Rs 353.10 million) has been completed in June 2008. Substantial investment of Rs 1333.3 million (FEC Rs 564.3 million) has been made under various schemes and in turn generated physical and human infrastructure responsible for the discovery of 930 prospective sites, demarcation of 236 sites for detailed exploration while 6 sites have been and/or are being exploited.

 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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Government withholds funds for PAEC project

Government withholds funds for PAEC project
MUSHTAQ GHUMMAN
ISLAMABAD (December 19 2008): The federal government has withheld funds for a project to be executed by Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) for supplying indigenous uranium for the commissioned and planned nuclear power plants.

Official documents made available to Business Recorder reveal that the project 'new mineral survey scheme' was considered by the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (Ecnec) in its previous meeting (December 2008) wherein top bass of PAEC was questioned for demanding 'unjustifiable' funds for the project.

The documents further reveal that the project had been discussed in the pre-CDWP meeting on April 25, 2008 wherein all queries were addressed and PAEC agreed to utilise existing facilities for the repair and maintenance of heavy equipment instead of setting up a separate mechanical workshop and deleted the expenditure proposed for the regular employees as these would be met from the regular budget of PAEC.

Despite several clarifications given by PAEC management to the concerned quarters, the government believes that the project cost was still 'unjustifiable'. "PAEC may initiate activities from its own resources and the government would release the funds from the PSDP when financial situation would ease," the documents suggested.

The PC-II of the project proposes carrying out mineral survey for delineation of nuclear mineral resource of Pakistan (Phase-VI). The main objective of the project is to establish additional Reasonable Assured Reserves (RAR) of uranium and other nuclear minerals to meet the nuclear fuel requirement to generate 8800 MW electricity by 2030.

The geo-scientific activities in the 20 geological formations bearing uranium deposits would include regional geological surveys such as air borne, ground radiometric, geochemical, geophysical and remote sensing techniques.

Based on the outcome of these preliminary surveys, exploration activities at targeted and identified sites would be conducted involving detailed geological mapping, drilling and test mining operations leading to collection of representative samples, determination of their mineralogical and chemical composition and subjecting the bulk samples to bench and pilot plant scale tests to establish their techno-economic parameters.

The field and laboratory data so generated would be documented and analysed to categorise uranium deposits in various categories including RAR. This task involves multidiscipline and multiphase activities requiring additional equipment and manpower.

The budgeted estimated cost of the project was Rs 1085.392 million with FEC of Rs 486.018 million. The duration of the project was five years (2008-2013). According to documents, PAEC is of the view that the successful completion of the project would ensure uninterrupted supply of indigenous uranium for the ongoing and planned nuclear power plants in the country.

At present dependence on fossil fuel is 44.1 percent gas and 20.2 percent oil for power generation. The fossil fuel is depleting fast besides its price in international market is very vulnerable. Therefore, it is imperative to diversify the fuel mix in power generation. Accordingly the Energy Security Action Plan (ESAP) envisages increasing the share of nuclear power from 1 percent to 4.2 percent by installing 8800 MW nuclear power plants by 2030.

Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency (Pepa), Islamabad has issued NoC with the observations that the subject activity may not require environmental approval at this stage.

The nuclear mineral survey schemes were started in 1962 and since then have developed physical and human infrastructure and delivered ensured supply of uranium and other raw materials for the operation of nuclear power plants. PAEC is the only geo-scientific organisation in the country that has developed nuclear project from discovery to metal stage.

PAEC Lahore has been undertaking nuclear mineral surveys since 1962 and has completed Phase-I to IV. Further Phase-V of NMSS estimated to cost Rs 737.6 million (FEC Rs 353.10 million) has been completed in June 2008. Substantial investment of Rs 1333.3 million (FEC Rs 564.3 million) has been made under various schemes and in turn generated physical and human infrastructure responsible for the discovery of 930 prospective sites, demarcation of 236 sites for detailed exploration while 6 sites have been and/or are being exploited.


 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




Discover the new Windows Vista Learn more!

Friday, December 19, 2008

ISLAMABAD TONIGHT DECEMBER 18, 2008

ISLAMABAD TONIGHT DECEMBER 18, 2008
http://pkpolitics.com/2008/12/18/islamabad-tonight-18-december-2008/
 
 
-----------------------------------------------------------
N A D E E M   M A L I K
Director Programme
AAJ TV
ISLAMABAD
00-92-321-5117511

nadeem.malik@hotmail.com 




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